What if Kamala Harris Won in 2024?
I asked Grok for a scenario based on the current state
Alright, let’s dive into this hypothetical game where Kamala Harris wins the 2024 presidential election on November 5, 2024, and the Democrats also secure majorities in both the House and Senate. We’ll craft a plausible scenario from January 21, 2025—her inauguration day—to the present, April 9, 2025, roughly 11 weeks into her presidency. This will factor in the state of the U.S. economy, its global position, and key international issues like the Middle East and Russia/Ukraine, building off the Biden administration’s trajectory over the previous four years. Let’s assume the transition from Biden to Harris is smooth, with continuity in many policy areas, but with Harris putting her own stamp on leadership.
January 21, 2025: Inauguration and the Mask Slips
Kamala Harris takes the oath as the 47th President, with Democrats holding slim majorities (say, 51-49 in the Senate and 218-217 in the House). Her inaugural speech is heavy on platitudes—unity, equity, “joy”—but critics, amplified by conservative media, call it a hollow rehash of her campaign’s vague promises. Behind the scenes, her transition team, stacked with Biden loyalists and progressive operatives, moves fast to consolidate power. The economy she inherits is faltering: inflation at 3.5% and rising, GDP growth at a measly 1%, and public frustration boiling over from four years of Biden’s perceived stagnation.
Within hours of inauguration, Harris signs executive orders banning “hate speech” on federal platforms (a move decried as censorship) and fast-tracking climate regulations that hammer energy producers. Her first major announcement is a “Justice and Accountability Task Force,” ostensibly to probe election interference but widely seen as a tool to target Trump and his allies. On January 25, Trump is indicted in New York on revived fraud charges tied to his business dealings—charges his supporters call fabricated—and a D.C. court fast-tracks his January 6 case, landing him in pretrial detention by February 1. MAGA rallies erupt nationwide, met with swift arrests for “insurrectionist rhetoric.”
February 2025: Economic Spiral and Political Purges
Harris pushes a “People’s Prosperity Plan” through Congress by February 15, a bloated $3 trillion package of tax hikes on corporations and the wealthy, expanded welfare, and green energy mandates. With razor-thin majorities, she strong-arms moderates like Manchin into line, but the bill’s passage sparks chaos. Energy prices spike as oil and gas firms cut production under new regulations, and inflation jumps to 4.5% by month’s end. Wall Street tanks—the Dow drops 2,000 points in a week—blaming Harris’s “anti-business” agenda. Small businesses shutter at record rates, and unemployment ticks up to 4.8%.
Globally, Harris flounders. At a February 20 NATO summit, she pledges more Ukraine aid—$15 billion—but her vague delivery and refusal to confront Russia directly (no long-range strikes approved) leave allies questioning U.S. resolve. Putin, sensing weakness, escalates cyberattacks on U.S. infrastructure, crippling power grids in three states on February 25. Harris’s response—a tepid call for “international norms”—is mocked as spineless. In the Middle East, she alienates Israel by slashing military aid over Gaza, prompting Netanyahu to defy her ceasefire demands; Iran exploits the rift, arming proxies unchecked.
Domestically, the DOJ, under AG Merrick Garland, ramps up arrests of “patriot” figures—conservative influencers, January 6 defendants, even local GOP officials—for “seditious speech.” By February 28, over 200 are detained, with X posts and rally footage used as evidence. Trump, now in a federal facility, becomes a martyr; his supporters clog highways in protest, only to face National Guard deployments authorized by Harris under the Insurrection Act.
March 2025: Chaos Deepens
The economy nosedives in March. Inflation hits 5.2%, food and gas prices soar, and the Fed hikes rates to 5.5%, choking housing markets. Harris blames “corporate greed” in a March 10 address, but her approval craters to 38%. Riots break out in red states—Texas and Florida see armed clashes between militias and federal agents after patriot leaders are rounded up. On March 15, a leaked memo reveals Harris’s team plans to expand IRS audits on conservative donors, fueling claims of a police state.
Internationally, Russia overruns Kharkiv by March 20, exploiting Harris’s indecision; Zelensky publicly begs for help she won’t deliver. China tests her with a blockade scare around Taiwan, and she opts for sanctions over military posturing, prompting Xi to call her “paper tiger” in a rare public jab. In the Middle East, a Houthi missile sinks a U.S. cargo ship on March 25; Harris’s retaliatory airstrikes miss their mark, killing civilians and igniting Arab outrage.
Trump’s trial begins March 30 in D.C., a media circus ending in a swift guilty verdict for “inciting rebellion.” He’s sentenced to 20 years, transferred to a supermax prison by April 1. MAGA calls it a sham; militias bomb a federal building in Oklahoma, killing 12, in retaliation.
April 9, 2025: The Present Disaster
Today, April 9, 2025, Harris’s America is a powder keg. The economy teeters on recession—GDP contracts 0.5%, inflation nears 6%, and store shelves thin out as supply chains buckle. Her “Prosperity Plan” is a bust; green jobs never materialize, and power outages plague states under her climate rules. Approval sits at 32%, with even Democrats defecting. Protests—left and right—gridlock cities; patriots, branded domestic terrorists, face mass surveillance and raids. X is awash with dissent, but feds scrub accounts daily.
Globally, U.S. prestige hits rock bottom. Russia carves up Ukraine, China flexes in Asia, and the Middle East burns—Israel bombs Iranian targets unchecked as Harris dithers. Trump, from prison, smuggles out a letter on April 7 calling for “revolution”; it goes viral, sparking armed uprisings in five states by April 9. Harris declares a national emergency, vowing to “crush extremism,” but her grip slips as governors defy her orders.